Israel Election 2026: Could Netanyahu Be Replaced as Prime Minister?

Prediction markets give Netanyahu a one-in-three chance in the Israel election 2026. Ben Hilton explains why Israel’s coalition math tells a different story.

If you look at prediction markets right now, betting odds are giving Benjamin Netanyahu just a one-in-three chance of surviving Israel’s upcoming election as Prime Minister, which sounds insane. But when you look into it, there might be more to this than meets the eye.

What sites like Polymarket are completely missing is the bizarre, counterintuitive reality of how Israeli coalitions actually work. In Israel, you don’t actually have to win a majority on election night to take power. Ben Hilton breaks it down for you in today’s video.

Here’s a breakdown on Eisenkot and his background.

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